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General introduction from Martin Rowley

There are summaries for each weekend (that's from Good Friday to Easter Monday in each case), mainly extracted from the Monthly Summary of the Daily Weather Report (Meteorological Office), the London Weather Centre "Daily Weather Summaries", and the Royal Meteorological Society's "Weather Logs"; in latter years I have worked up summaries from data freely available on the internet. In addition, I added data obtained personally whilst I was working for the Met Office, and subsequently by inspection of original publications.

Always bear in mind that in summaries for a whole country, particularly one as diverse meteorologically and geographically as ours, there will be subtle variations from the broad descriptions given here, particularly at this time of year when coastal areas can have markedly different conditions to those well inland.

For each weekend, I have tried to pick out the 'warmest' and 'sunniest' locations, based on the following:-
Warmest: Highest temperature observed from Met Office summary (as issued to the Press at the end of each day), or from main synoptic list prior to this series. I may not have captured the absolute highest temperature on each occasion.
Sunniest: Sunniest spot from Met Office summary, or from main synoptic list prior to this series. Sunshine reports are very spatially irregular, and do not always correctly attribute amounts between days.
From the caveats above, these figures may/will not be the 'last word' on extremes, but will give the correct 'flavour' for the weekend.


Dates for Easter . . .

Earliest (possible) date for Easter Day: 22nd March (defined as the Sunday following the first full moon [ or 'Paschal Full Moon' ] on or after the 21st March, or more strictly, the vernal [spring] equinox; I've simplified this a lot - for more on dating Easter, do a search on-line.)
Latest (possible) date for Easter Day: 25th April.
If the full moon and the defined Sunday coincide with the 21st March, then we have to wait a full lunar cycle…because of the requirement for it to be a 'following' Sunday). ( NB: According to Philip Eden, Easter Monday (as a Bank Holiday), is credited to Gladstone's government of 1872. )

The following are dates of Easter Sunday during the second half of the 20th century, and the first twenty-seven years of the 21st:

1950 9APR 1951 25MAR 1952 13APR 1953 5APR 1954 18APR 1955 10APR
1956 1APR 1957 21APR 1958 6APR 1959 29MAR 1960 17APR 1961 2APR
1962 22APR 1963 14APR 1964 29MAR 1965 18APR 1966 10APR 1967 26MAR
1968 14APR 1969 6APR 1970 29MAR 1971 11APR 1972 2APR 1973 22APR
1974 14APR 1975 30MAR 1976 18APR 1977 10APR 1978 26MAR 1979 15APR
1980 6APR 1981 19APR 1982 11APR 1983 3APR 1984 22APR 1985 7APR
1986 30MAR 1987 19APR 1988 3APR 1989 26MAR 1990 15APR 1991 31MAR
1992 19APR 1993 11APR 1994 3APR 1995 16APR 1996 7APR 1997 30MAR
1998 12APR 1999 4APR 2000 23APR 2001 15APR 2002 31MAR 2003 20APR
2004 11APR 2005 27MAR 2006 16APR 2007 8APR 2008 23MAR 2009 12APR
2010 4APR 2011 24APR 2012 8APR 2013 31MAR 2014 20APR 2015 5APR
2016 27MAR 2017 16APR 2018 1APR 2019 21APR 2020 12APR 2021 4APR
2022 17APR 2023 9APR 2024 31MAR 2025 20APR 2026 5APR 2027 28MAR
2028 16APR 2029 1APR 2030 21APR 2031 13APR 2032 28MAR 2033 17APR
2034 9APR 2035 25MAR 2036 13APR 2037 5APR 2038 25APR 2039 10APR
2040 1APR

Sunrise / sunset times . . .

Typical sunrise/sunset times (Greenwich Mean Time: GMT [ aka UTC or 'Z' ])

     SUNRISE   SUNSET
 22ND MARCH:  SHETLAND  0600  1823
   GLASGOW  0614  1833
   BELFAST  0622  1841
   MANCHESTER  0606  1825
   PLYMOUTH  0615  1832
   LONDON  0559  1816
 GMT usually in force.      

     SUNRISE   SUNSET
 25TH APRIL:  SHETLAND  0417  1949
   GLASGOW  0447  1943
   BELFAST  0459  1946
   MANCHESTER  0447  1927
   PLYMOUTH  0503  1926
   LONDON  0444  1913
 BST usually in force.      

BST [ British Summer Time ] (= GMT+1); add one hour to the times given for this date. Therefore sunset 'by the clock' after 8pm, and nearer 9pm in the north.

 


'SunIndex' . . .

By adding up the total sunshine on all four days (Good Friday to Easter Monday inclusive) for Glasgow, Belfast, Manchester and London, a crude 'SUNINDEX' is achieved which shows: . . .

YEARS WITH HIGH VALUES (going back in time to 1958): 2014(137), 1981(165), 1980(138), 1971(133), 1969(166), 1968(133), 1960(133).
(Arbitrarily those with numbers=> 130)
[ NB: using this measure, the Easter weekend of 2014 was the first reasonably sunny Easter since 1981. This was largely due to prolonged & widespread sunshine over Scotland.]

YEARS WITH LOW VALUES (going back in time to 1958): 2012(14), 2005(35), 2004(32), 1999(39), 1992(37), 1985(34), 1972(26), 1966(19), 1964(15), 1958(38).
(Arbitrarily those with numbers=<40)

The 'best' year by this measure was: 1969, closely followed by 1981. This measure does indeed pick out what was probably the finest Easter weekend in this period, although not exceptionally warm. East coast resorts though had cold winds/persistent cloud-fog off the North Sea. (1984 the best for warmth, but not for sunshine).
The 'worst' year by this measure was: 2012 followed by 1964, though given the doubts about instrument changes, estimations in missing data, changes in stations used, etc., I suspect that 2012 was of a similar value to 1964. Some missing data from Manchester in 2012 but this low figure covers the 'dullness' of the weekend well. 1964 was a bitterly cold, drear weekend - with nagging easterly cloud-laden winds. [ see also comment against 2009 for east & central England ]


'Quick-Look' Summary . . .

 1958  Snow West Country/Channel Isles as well as other east & northern areas. Cold wind.
 1959  Unsettled/showery: mild, but sometimes brisk wind. Fine Monday north & west.
 1960  Sunny: fine/mostly dry in south; cloudier Monday in north.
 1961  Chilly/wintry but bright in north; mild but dull & damp in south.
 1962  Wet/dull until Saturday, then dry & sunny: becoming warm on Monday.
 1963  Very unsettled. Wet in north on Sunday and in south on Monday.
 1964  Dull & dreary. A cold easterly type. Dullest in London on record.
 1965  A promising start then downhill to a wintry end.
 1966  Dull for many; cold east winds spoiled the end of the weekend.
 1967  The warm promise before Easter failed again!
 1968  Not bad: reasonable sunshine but spoiled later by a freshening east wind.
 1969  Dry, fine and very sunny - east coast resorts fog/cold wind.
 1970  Unsettled - cold northerlies then less cold westerlies.
 1971  Soon dry & mostly fine. Warm but an easterly wind in south.
 1972  Mild (warm in south) - damp/cloudy, with some wetter spells.
 1973  Cyclonic/east or NE'ly - local snow in south. Better in west Scotland.
 1974  Fine/sunny away from North Sea influence. Frosty nights. Chilly in London.
 1975  Cold/northerly - despite the sunshine. Snow for many.
 1976  Mostly fine/warm/reasonably sunny (but irregular); cloudier north & on east coast.
 1977  Wintry/sharp frosts with hail & snow; then less chilly.
 1978  Disappointing - cold, cyclonic with often chilly west winds.
 1979  Some fine, very warm weather - very little rain.
 1980  Chilly mornings, but reasonably sunny and warm by day.
 1981  Fine/sunny start then downhill for some. Chilly northeast winds.
 1982  Rather cold, but bright/mainly dry. Less wind by Monday.
 1983  Distinctly wintry, with significant snowfall in places.
 1984  Fine, very warm & reasonably sunny. Arguably the best in this series.
 1985  Unsettled; often dull, wet & windy. Showery end to weekend.
 1986  Showery/windy & chilly with longer periods of rain.
 1987  Very warm/sunny start - cooler with showery rain later. Breezy.
 1988  Indifferent: a wet start in the west & north; slowly getting better.
 1989  Rough/stormy start - very warm, mostly dry by Monday.
 1990  Unsettled - rather chilly & windy. Heavy showers Monday.
 1991  Downhill rapidly from Friday. Cyclonic/windy on Monday. General lack of sunshine.
 1992  Notably warm in south; cooler in north. Little rain. Indifferent sunshine.
 1993  Cyclonic/cool: sometimes windy. Local heavy rainfall. Better Monday in southeast.
 1994  Wet/windy/cool: local storm-force winds early Friday.
 1995  Fine/warm start then colder & cloudier.
 1996  Good in parts. Windy & damp in west & north by Monday.
 1997  Many places increasingly warm/sunny. Cloudier in northwest.
 1998  Cold/wintry showers. Mopping-up in Midlands after major floods.
 1999  Marked lack of sunshine but temperatures above average.
 2000  Disappointing, given how late it was. Part of very wet April.
 2001  Often brisk, rather chilly wind. Showers or rain for most.
 2002  Fine/sunny start - going downhill with limited sunshine; not bad in southeast.
 2003  Fine/warm start; sharp chill Saturday then slow recovery.
 2004  Quiet - large areas cloudy, some showery rain. Temperatures near average.
 2005  Large areas sunless/some rain; south & Wales warm sunshine/mostly dry.
 2006  South - warm, long dry periods; north - showery / cool but often sunny.
 2007  Dry, sunny for large areas; rather windy in north. Warm S & E.
 2008  Wintry with strong winds. Snow N & E; very cold (except SW), but sunshine for most.
 2009  Fine Scotland, much of north & western England; notably dull London & the Home Counties.
 2010  Lack of sun; cool N & W, warmer, if windy on Monday. Rain at times.
 2011  Fine/warm (records broken) England, Wales; some rain northern UK.
 2012  Marked lack of sunshine: wet, breezy & cool on Monday.
 2013  Coldest Easter for over half-century; generally dry - irregular sunshine.
 2014  North, fine; South, cold/wet Sunday else fair - thunderstorms Monday.

Holiday Highlights . . .
Some GOOD ones ....

1949
The start of Easter saw sunshine and record April temperatures (at that time), in many parts of the country; 23 degC was exceeded in places on the 15th, whilst on Easter Saturday, the 16th, an amazing 29.4 degC was recorded in London (at Camden Square); this is the highest recorded temperature in April for the 20th century in the British Isles (i.e. not just for the Easter period). However, a cold front moved east during the day, bringing some patchy rain, with a few thunderstorms over north-east England at night. Nevertheless, temperatures still reached 21 degC in parts of the south-east of England on Easter Sunday and Monday. In recent times, 1984 (q.v.) ran this one close, but 1949 probably still stands out, particularly as the Easter Sunday fell on the 17th, about a week before the latest possible date for the day. This Easter holiday is arguably the 'gold-standard' for such since the end of the Second World War, with only the aforementioned 1984 coming anywhere close to equalling it for warmth & sunshine.

1960
A lot of fine sunshine this weekend, particularly in sheltered eastern and northeastern areas. However, the weekend was slightly spoilt by the sometimes chilly / brisk NW wind, and although temperatures were above average, the wind-chill would have been a notable factor preventing full enjoyment of beaches etc.

1969
Only the northeast and east coasts of both England & Scotland missed out on the very fine, almost dry and sunny weekend. In these areas adjacent to the North Sea (cold at any time, but especially so in this first week of April), sea fog / stratus was a problem. For most though, temperatures climbed well above the average for an 'early April' Easter holiday, with maxima well above 18 in the south by Sunday, and above 15 in the north. Several stations broke all-time sunshine records for the weekend.

1984
With anticyclonic southerlies gently becoming established over the country, temperatures climbed well into the low 20's Celsius, with some stations breaking all-time records for day maxima. By the last two days of the weekend, many areas had little or no cloud worth speaking about, but as the easterlies picked up along the North Sea coast, conditions there were not so good, with areas of low cloud developing, and a notable chill. This is towards the end of the span of time when Easter can fall, so the chance of high temperatures was enhanced for that reason alone. Apart from 1949 (see above), this Easter holiday was one of the rare "notably warm & reasonably sunny" weekends since the end of the Second World War.

2007
The week leading up to this Easter weekend saw the weather maps dominated by high pressure, and so often in the past such pleasing anticyclones fade away with the arrival of Good Friday! Not so this year, with the High settling down over or just to the south of Britain and for most, the four days were dry, with large amounts of sunshine across the south & sheltered east. It was cloudier (and increasingly windier) over northern areas, but this meant that sheltered parts of NE England, East and NE Scotland had fair, warm afternoons. Although some coasts with onshore breezes were chillier, the combination of sunshine for most at some time, the largely dry nature of the 4-days & the well-above average temperatures inland for many meant that this holiday weekend was very pleasant.

2011
For England & Wales, despite some lively thunderstorms developing during the course of Saturday, it was an extended weekend with plenty of sunshine and temperatures well above the late April average. On Saturday, a maximum temperature of 27.8degC was recorded at Wisley RHS Gardens, Surrey, and by this single-station measure it became the warmest Easter since 1949. The warmth was spread out over large areas of inland England & Wales (and the Channel Islands), and even northern areas of the UK had reasonably high temperatures during the first couple of days (away from coasts), though Atlantic air displaced this warmth eventually. This Easter may have eclipsed that of 1949 (q.v.) over England in particular, considering how widespread the high temperatures were over the number of days involved, even if the specific '29degC' (as in 1949) wasn't reached/exceeded. The south coast of England, along with sheltered western coasts elsewhere, enjoyed fine, strong sunshine and a run of above-average temperatures to gladden the heart & boost the flagging economy!
[Until over-taken in later years, we can certainly say that this is the 'best' Easter holiday weekend of the 21st century]

Some BAD ones ....

1908
A wintry weekend (17th-20th Apr): As high pressure persisted in a broad belt to the west of the British Isles, the flow pattern was north or northeasterly throughout the weekend, with the source somewhere well north of the Arctic Circle or northern Scandinavia: the often strong winds brought sleet/snow showers to eastern areas of Britain; frequent hail and snow showers affected these regions, and snow settled in some places by Easter morning - 7.5cm was recorded at Bury St. Edmunds (Suffolk), and there were more heavy snow showers across northern and eastern areas on Bank Holiday Monday. Temperatures were much below average, with a strong chilling effect in the wind.

1964
One of the dullest Easter holidays in the second half of the 20th century. At Kew, it was the dullest Easter weekend on record and the coldest Easter Day for 81 years. Temperatures barely achieved 6 or 7 degrees C in the south and central parts of the country, and accompanied by a raw, often strong east wind. [ see also 2012 ]

1994
Good Friday started out with a Severe Storm, and overall there was a lot of rain, wind and depressed temperatures - the highest temperature anywhere over the whole weekend was 12.9 degC at Folkestone on the Monday, but many places struggled to make absolute maxima into the range: 5 to 8 degrees on the Monday, and snow was reported from lower level stations over the weekend.

2008
A very cold weekend, with snow for many, though amounts of snow were not particularly great taking the country as a whole - the snowy spots were in eastern England (including the North Midlands), N & NE Scotland. It was the coldest (by the highest temperature observed over the whole 4 days) since 1983, and using the Heathrow/Kew Observatory series, it was possibly the coldest Easter period since the 1930s. Perhaps the fact that other elements (the economy, terror threats, political crises etc.) contributed to downbeat impression of this holiday? It was, of course, almost the earliest that Easter could fall (by one day).

2009: (PARTIAL - E, SE & 'CENTRAL' ENGLAND ONLY)
With only 5.1 hours of bright sunshine recorded in the London area, this was the dullest Easter weekend in this part of the world since the notorious year of 1964. This lack of sunshine affected other areas of eastern, Midland & SE England. (However, note that further west and north, particularly for Scotland, NW England & large swathes of Wales & the SW of England, it was a sunny Easter!)

2012:
A marked lack of sunshine over the four days [lowest 'sunindex' in my series which began in 1958] - and on Monday, some wet weather for most, but especially over England & Wales: for England, this rain was 'useful', given the extended dry spell that some central, east and south-eastern areas were experiencing, but hardly welcome on a holiday. Temperatures average at best, except where some prolonged sunshine blessed southern areas over the weekend.

2013:
March 2013 was widely the coldest such-named month since 1962, and probably in the 'top-20' of coldest Marches in the previous (350) years! It was also colder than the 'standard' winter period December 2012 to February 2013. However, by the Easter weekend, the worst of the snow had gone, and the strong, penetrating winds had relented somewhat - even residual snow cover had diminished from all but northern & Welsh upland areas, so although it was a notably cold weekend, it was by no means completely unpleasant. The minimum at Braemar on the morning of the 31st March (-12.5degC) was the lowest for that date in the modern record, and by this measure, meant that this Easter experienced the lowest temperature in a very long time! Day maxima though were woefully short of the March/April 'junction' averages of 10-12degC: no-where reached 10degC on any of the four days; on several days, the nagging east or southeast wind returned to add to the chill. By the 'highest temperature reached anywhere on all four days' measure (9.4degC on Easter Monday), this was the coldest Easter in my series (begins 1958).


Easter notes . . .

1. You are more likely to get snow in some parts of the country at Easter, rather than at Christmas, particularly (but not exclusively) if it is an 'early' Easter (but this is unlikely to be true for northern Britain). Over the last 50 years or so, snow has often appeared in the summaries as affecting lowland areas, if only briefly: for example: 1958, 1965, 1970, 1973, 1975, 1977, 1978, 1982, 1983, 1986, 1994 and 1998. The event of 1983 is probably the one that stands out, and occurring in early April, it was not exactly an 'early-Easter'. Snowfall was significant at times, sufficient to disrupt transport in some places.
2. Sea breezes are very much a feature, especially with the 'later' Easters, with the rapidly warming land/increasing strength of the sun, compared to the slow thermal inertia of adjacent seas, particularly the North Sea. Pure 'sea-breezes' and 'winds off the sea' often spoil many a first trip to the seaside for families, despite possible bright sunshine.
3. With generally lower absolute humidity (lower dew points) and potentially a cold land surface, night radiation is very effective at allowing temperatures to drop sharply, leading to some notably cold starts, although by the same token, the ensuing bright/strong sunshine allows a good recovery of temperature by about midday well inland, with lower incidence of 'convective infill', other factors being equal.
4. High pressure has a tendency to settle and become slow-moving such as to give east or northeasterly flows - colder winds off the North Sea, and always a risk of ending up with a 'cloudy high' syndrome.
5. It is not often fine for all 4 days at any one site. Time and time again, a fine start goes downhill, or the best days are reserved for the Monday … and sometimes the fine weather sets in after the break - with some notable occasions when near-record temperatures occur before the Easter weekend - a cruel blow.
6. Cooler sea-surface temperatures (SST's) do mean a lower risk of shower activity on windward coasts.
7. Sunshine is often strong (good and bad), and the air usually clean.
8. By Lamb's weather type, over the period 1965-1997, 43% of events (i.e. all four stations combined) had flow types from between NW and E through N. [16% (of the total sample) were associated with anticyclonic patterns]. As there are 8 directional classes + 3 non-directional classes=11, for the four directions considered, in an equal distribution should contribute 4/11ths of the total … or roughly 36% of the total sample, whereas we have some 43%, indicating a bias towards winds from a 'chilly' direction. (I'll update this to the full 1958 - 2005 set when I can)


The weather in early spring . . .

For comparison with temperatures given, the following are average day-maximum temperatures for four principal cities in the United Kingdom at various times over this season:-
Glasgow: mid-March 9degC, March/April junction 10degC, mid-April 12degC.
Belfast: mid-March 9degC, March/April junction 10degC, mid-April 11degC.
Manchester: mid-March 9degC, March/April junction 10degC, mid-April 12degC.
London: mid-March 10degC, March/April junction 12degC, mid-April 13degC.

The day-length at this time of year (March / April) is noticeably increasing (and with it the potential sunshine), and temperatures generally rise, however this season is noted for chilly winds (colder seas) and 'reversal' to near-winter conditions. The sun is strong enough to feel warm when available, but conversely, if skies cloud-over then the benefit of the increased (potential) sunshine is lost.

The above has been researched and is reproduced with permission of Martin Rowley

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