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The MJO has been unusually strong for the last few weeks but it's forecast to be turning much weaker as we head into early August. Here's the forecast for the MJO from the CFS model which shows how we are currently in phase 6, but see how w g into phase

ECMWF 46-day through August to early September

The ECMWF 6-week forecast has been issued and it makes interesting reading towards the end of August and early September. Here's the run-down... 28th July to 3rd August Trough to the west but high pressure to the east. Ridge extends into the UK and pushes drier weather back west after mixed start (see chart). Tending

Rain on Friday?

There's much talk of rain on Friday affecting a larger area of the UK and Ireland than recently. Well, I'd urge a word of caution here. There are signs of showery and thundery rain affecting the country, but the difficulty is in deciding how widespread and where the rain will fall. Here's

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