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Tropical Storm Dorian

As I'm writing this, the National Hurricane Center have just issued their latest update on Tropical Storm Dorian which calls for the intensification of the system to Major Hurricane intensity prior to a potential landfall in Florida on Monday evening (local time). By the time you're reading this, there's every

ECMWF 46-day to early October

As summer draws to a close the ECMWF 46-day forecast is giving consistent indications for the early stages of meteorological autumn (1st September to 30th November). Here's the latest output form that model. Remember this isn't our official forecast for September, but I don't expect it to be too far away. 31st