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ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to mid-March

Spring is just around the corner...honest! The ECMWF 6-Week outlook confirms this as it now extends into the middle stages of March. Remember this is the forecast from only one model, others may and do differ. Here's what the latest forecast suggests ... 30th January to 5th February Jet stream over or south of

5 Week Ahead Weather Things to Know

The GFS and ECMWF deterministic models are in pretty good agreement with the forecast for this coming working week so there is reasonably good confidence in the outlook for the next five days. Here are five "things to know" for this Monday to Friday. 1 - A largely dry and fine

What’s Happening With the MJO?

Over the past week or so the Madden-Julian Oscillation has remained weaker than forecast and did not emerge with a strong signature in Phase 4 (western Indonesia) as expected. However, as we go through the coming four weeks there is greater agreement among the models that we are going to

Sunday’s Snow

While Saturday is looking largely settled but with rain, sleet and snow showers affecting far northern and western areas, it will be cold. Sunday is forecast to see a possible snow event occur as a front hits the colder air. The below charts show the latest GFS model output on

5 Weekend Weather Things To Know

Hey, it's another lockdown weekend, and it's probably not a bad one for getting out and about, but you will need to wrap up warm. Of course, if it's a working weekend for you then there'll be little change to your weekday routine, bu if you're outdoors it will be feeling

February 2021 – Preliminary Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ FEBRUARY 2021 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ==================================== Issued: Wednesday 20th January 2021 Contact: HEADLINES ========== + Unsettled start, wind and rain + Mild south, colder north + Becoming drier and cool to cold for all FACTORS AFFECTING FEBRUARY

OPEN ACCESS: Rainfall and flooding update

Latest rainfall totals forecast between now and midday on Thursday. This shows the target areas for the highest rainfall are NW England, Wales and central parts of Ireland. Such high totals will lead to flooding and could lead to a threat of life due to fast flowing streams and rivers. Notice the contrast