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November 2020 – Final Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ NOVEMBER 2020 - FINAL GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Wednesday 28th October 2020 Contact: HEADLINES ========== + Settled, cool, early month + More unsettled later + Risk of colder second half FACTORS AFFECTING NOVEMBER 2020 FINAL GUIDANCE =================================================== + High pressure

Autumn so far and what’s about the rest of the season?

We're almost two months through meteorological autumn (officially 1st September to 30th November), so I thought it may be time to take a look at where we are, and what's next. Here's the average temperatures so far across Europe (to the latest data available which was 23rd October) ... notice the

5 Week Ahead Weather Things to Know

1 - Early rain and showers over western areas on Monday tend to fade for most through the afternoon. A few showers will reach eastern areas but it will generally be drier and brighter here. Winds tending to ease through the day too. Cool in the north. 2 - Wet and

Shifting of the Jet Stream

The Jet Stream is massively important in determining what our weather does and scientists keep a good eye on how it's pattern changes. What we are seeing this week is the UK and Ireland in the direct path of the Jet Stream. The Jet Stream is effectively a fast moving

Milder Temperatures

It is forecast to be an unsettled week of weather coming up. Starting from today (Saturday) the country will see rain push in from the west and spread eastwards. The southeast of England could see some hefty totals by midnight on Sunday before the rain band clears offshore through the

5 Weekend Weather Things To Know

1 - Wet and windy conditions for most on Saturday. Rain spreads through Ireland, Northern Ireland, Scotland, west Wales and northwest England through the morning. Gales likely for many northwestern areas. 2 - Rain spreads through east Wales and the rest of England through the afternoon reaching the far southeast by

Winter signals from the NAO

It's time to take a look at the NAO forecast from the CFS which is now taking us into late November. The part of the graph below we are interested in is the black line with the grey shading. This is the forecast data. You can see that we start positive which

ECMWF 6-Week to early December

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ NOVEMBER 2020 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ===================================== Issued: Wednesday 21st October 2020 Contact: HEADLINES ========== + Unsettled start + Quiet, cool mid-month + Colder unsettled end FACTORS AFFECTING NOVEMBER 2020 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ======================================================= + Ridge builds mid-month + Hints of a

La Nina continues to stay negative through winter

  In yesterdays Look Ahead video I talk about how the La Nina in the Pacific ocean will be having a major impact on the weather of the Northern Hemisphere into the winter months. By coincidence the IRI//CPC forecast of forecasts has been released and is shown below. This shows the bold green,

5 Weather Things To Know For The Week Ahead

A more unsettled week in store for us; expect strengthening winds, rain, heavy at times, but temperatures wont get too cold, in some parts of the south expect temperatures to rise above average on some days. 1- Monday will see rain affect northern and western areas of the UK and Ireland,