It's a rather unsettled outlook for the coming week. Here are five things to keep an eye out for: 1. Temperatures will be close to average for the time of year this week with highs reaching 9 or 10C in the south of England and coastal fringes of Wales; 7 or
There has been a lot of talk recently in the weather anorak community about the prospect of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event in the early part of January 2019. So what does this mean? And what impact will it have on our weather? SSW is exactly what it sounds like:
Today's ECMWF takes us almost completely through January. There's some interesting hints about what the weather may be doing from mid-January with signs of wintry weather. It's still a long way off, and remember this is only the ECMWF model. It's certainly worth watching though as this matches our winter forecast. 14th December
The UK Met Office released their climate summary for November 2018 this week and, unsurprisingly, it was warmer than average. But how much warmer? Well, that depends on the reference period you use. Meteorologists and climatologists use 30-year reference periods when calculating climate statistics. The most recent "standard reference period"
The NAO forecast from the CFS model makes for interesting reading today. Look how much more negative the index goes from late January into February. It bounced along in neutral territory overall running up to the negative hit. This suggests that despite Atlantic westerly winds in December, they may not be that