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Winter 2017/18 – Very Early Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++   WINTER 2017/18 UPDATE ===================== Issued: Saturday 21st October 2017 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========= + Cooler than recent years + More definite ‘cold spikes’ + Focus on late January & February OVERVIEW ======== There…

Next weeks uncertainty continues

ECMWF and GFS are still fighting it out over how things shape up next week. The latest (midday Wednesday) run of the GFS and ECMWF are showing more signs of agreement now, but there’s still much uncertainty. Here’s the GFS which shows a large anticyclone north of the UK and the low to the west….

Spring 2017 – Preliminary Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ PRELIMINARY FORECAST GUIDANCE FOR SPRING (MARCH, APRIL & MAY) 2017 ================================================================== Issued: Thursday 26th January 2017 FORECAST DISCUSSION =================== There is strong guidance from models suggesting that the prevailing westerly winds across the…

Save yourselves! Angus may be on its way!

There’s a chance that the area of low pressure forecast to swing through the U.K. on Sunday could be the first named storm of the season. Now, we’ve all got an opinion on the naming of UK storms, and Garry and I have a Weather Wise Guys video about it when it happens. There are…

Chinese call a wet European winter for 2016/17

The Chinese Met Agency have released their initial forecast ideas for winter 2016/2017 (for the months of December, January & February). The 500mb height anomaly chart for the Northern Hemisphere (shown below) highlights much lower than average 500mb heights over the UK, with higher than average heights to the west of Portugal. Notice too the…

It’s getting colder day on day (and night on night)

Okay, so I exaggerated the headline, but certainly temperatures are on the decrease over the next couple of days. Here’s the forecast maximum for Thursday …. Now here’s Friday … much cooler … And then Saturday is cooler still … Throw in the frost risk for Friday night/Saturday morning …   And again for some…