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More on the winter JAMSTEC forecast

In yesterdays Look Ahead I went through the JAMSTEC forecast charts for the coming winter, spring and summer. Let's look at those in more detail. Here's the ENSO forecast from JAMSTEC and this is one of the stronger El Nino forecasts. See how the forecast is for a +1.8 index by the

Forecast for Spring & Summer CS3 update

The latest C3S Copernicus forecast which combines output from the UK Met Office, ECMWF and MeteoFrance seasonal forecast have just been published. I'll talk more about these in the Look Ahead video today (I'll have it online around midday), but wanted to show you some it this morning. Here's the forecast for

Spring & Summer 2018 – Early Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++   SPRING & SUMMER 2018 - EARLY GUIDANCE ====================================== Issued: Thursday 15th February 2018 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net ** Note Meteorological spring refers to the period 1st March to 31st May, meteorological summer refers to 1st

December 2017 Weather Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ WEATHER GUIDANCE FOR DECEMBER 2017 ===================================== Issued: Wednesday 29th November 2017 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net   HEADLINES ========== + A 'switching' month + Some colder, some milder weather + Near average rain + Risk of cold days   FACTORS AFFECTING DECEMBER 2017 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ======================================================= +

Winter 2017/18 – Very Early Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++   WINTER 2017/18 UPDATE ===================== Issued: Saturday 21st October 2017 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========= + Cooler than recent years + More definite 'cold spikes' + Focus on late January & February OVERVIEW ======== There has been a growing consensus through the spring

Next weeks uncertainty continues

ECMWF and GFS are still fighting it out over how things shape up next week. The latest (midday Wednesday) run of the GFS and ECMWF are showing more signs of agreement now, but there's still much uncertainty. Here's the GFS which shows a large anticyclone north of the UK and the low

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