Okay, I know, talk of forecasting so far in advance should raise a smile, but a couple of models are producing guidance which is looking ahead to spring 20201.
Of course these need to be treated cautiously, but governments would not send tens of millions of pounds on such models if
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AUGUST 2020 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE
Issued: Thursday 23rd July 2020
+ Unsettled & cool
+ Brief fair spells
+ Perhaps better later
FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2020 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE
+ Sharp trough bringing rain and
Following on from Simon's musing on Tuesday ("Summer According to the ECMWF"), I thought I'd share with you the latest forecast from the CFS covering the same period.
Similarly to the ECMWF, the CFS shows a more westerly flow for the UK and Ireland through July though the CFS places the
In yesterdays Look Ahead I showed the following forecast from the ECMWF seasonal forecast which has just been issued.
I thought I'd show the charts again just to reiterate what it shows. I'm showing you this in advance of the JMA model output for the summer which will be available in
The analogue forecast for this year have been updated and make for interesting reading.
Now, we always need to treat these forecast (as all long range forecasts) carefully, but actually they are usually pretty reliable.
It's interesting to take a look at how they are developing things, and below is the 200mb