Okay, I know, talk of forecasting so far in advance should raise a smile, but a couple of models are producing guidance which is looking ahead to spring 20201. Of course these need to be treated cautiously, but governments would not send tens of millions of pounds on such models if

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2020 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Thursday 23rd July 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Unsettled & cool + Brief fair spells + Perhaps better later FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2020 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ==================================================== + Sharp trough bringing rain and

In yesterdays Look Ahead I showed the following forecast from the ECMWF seasonal forecast which has just been issued. I thought I'd show the charts again just to reiterate what it shows. I'm showing you this in advance of the JMA model output for the summer which will be available in

The analogue forecast for this year have been updated and make for interesting reading. Now, we always need to treat these forecast (as all long range forecasts) carefully, but actually they are usually pretty reliable. It's interesting to take a look at how they are developing things, and below is the 200mb