The MJO forecast from the CFS is showing the dry weather persisting until the early stages of May.
Interestingly this ties in with the forecast from the 35-Day GFS Ensemble which I showed yesterday in the Look Ahead video.
Below is the forecast MJO from there CFS and notice we are currently
The more I am looking at predictions for summer, the more I am getting a phrase going around and around in my head .... "forgettable by being forgettable".
The latest ECMWF output does nothing to dispel this phrase. It shows that, yes there will be some drier weather, but some distinct
And so here we go, almost through spring (well that is where we will be by the time this weeks 6-week outlook from the ECMWF has finished).
I talked through the charts in yesterdays Look Ahead video, but I've added more detail below.
10th April to16th April
Trough over the UK (see chart).