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More on the rest of summer and early autumn

In yesterdays Look Ahead video I showed the latest ideas for analogue guidance going into the autumn. We are at a critical stage in the analogue forecast process and the charts below depend on a change in the ENSO in the coming weeks. That needs to happen in order to build

ECMWF 46-day outlook to end July

The ECMWF has just updated its outlook for the next 6-weeks and we are on the look out for any windows of better weather. The good news is that there are a few hints of some spells of drier conditions. Here's the latest ... 14th June to 21st June Low pressure brings unsettled conditions