The latest probabilistic forecast from the CPC indicates there is now a 50:50 chance between ENSO-neutral and La Nina conditions developing in the Pacific this autumn. Latest sea surface temperature anomalies across the central and eastern Pacific continue to fall below average with the average sea surface temperature in the Nino-3.4

1 - A northwest - southeast split in the weather to start the week with dull, wet conditions for parts of Ireland, Scotland and Northern Ireland (as well as northwestern parts of England and Wales) and dry, warm, fair conditions for much of England and Wales. 2 - Conditions on

Based on the phone calls we've received here at WeatherWeb.net over the past few days, most of you are looking for a dry spell of weather and many of you are in luck. Above are the forecast 6-hour rainfall totals from the GFS from 01.00am on Monday through until 07.00pm