The more I am looking at predictions for summer, the more I am getting a phrase going around and around in my head .... "forgettable by being forgettable".
The latest ECMWF output does nothing to dispel this phrase. It shows that, yes there will be some drier weather, but some distinct
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APRIL 2021 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE
Issued: Wednesday 17th March 2021
+ A cool month
+ More unsettled mid-month
+ Mixed end to the month
FACTORS AFFECTING APRIL 2021 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE
+ Higher pressure to
S the JMA surface pressure chart is calling for lower than average pressures over the UK and Ireland for summer 2021 (June, July and August).
The chart below is the same that I showed in Monday's Look Ahead video and summarised it as summer not looking too great, at least to
We're getting the first sight of the ECMWF seasonal forecast for spring and summer 2020, and I wanted to get some information to you as soon as possible.
It seems we have a moderately consistent story from the ECMWF. We still need to do some work on the forecast, but this
In yesterdays Look Ahead I showed the latest forecast guidance from the ECMWF model (and it's all ECMWF in the next day or so as the ECMWF 6-week forecasts available today too).
So, I thought I'd expand on the information in that video.
Now, again, remember this is just one models output
Okay, I know, talk of forecasting so far in advance should raise a smile, but a couple of models are producing guidance which is looking ahead to spring 20201.
Of course these need to be treated cautiously, but governments would not send tens of millions of pounds on such models if