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Scorchio, Japanese style…

by Garry Nicholson -

The Japanese Meteorological Agency has introduced a new term for days which exceed 40C - the word 'kokushobi', which translates as 'cruelly hot'. This was chosen after a public poll, to follow similar terms to refer to days of over 25C, 30C and 35C in Japan. We don't have quite such formulated

Drier conditions for the next 2 weeks

by Filotas Paschos -

Good day all, The broader picture through the coming couple of weeks points towards a rather quiet and controlled weather regime. High pressure continues to hold firm  helping to keep things largely settled. Meanwhile, the Atlantic remains relatively subdued, with no strong or persistent storm systems making significant inroads from the west.

5 things for the weekend

by Filotas Paschos -

🌦️ Mixed conditions overall, with cloud and rain mainly in the north on Saturday 🌤️ Brighter and more settled further south, especially through Saturday afternoon ☀️ Sunday brings a largely dry and sunny day for most areas 🌬️ A light breeze at times, but generally pleasant spring conditions 🌈

Spring May Stay On The Chillier Side

by Daniel Graves -

Below is the 35-day GFS ensemble temperature forecast for Birmingham. What stands out most clearly is the almost non-existent rise in temperatures from now until mid-May; have a look: There's a surprising amount of information we can glean from this chart, with just a little extra context. The main feature to

Temperatures may go cooler week after next?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

I've been looking at the soil and air temperatures in the next couple of weeks. Higher pressure is shown as building with an east to northeast wind setting in. This drags even more moisture from the soil but also has an impact on air temperatures. The 15-day temperature chart shows the falling

Rising pressure? Yes or maybe?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Top chart here is important. Notice most of the models go with rising pressure early to mid next week, Canadian being most bullish. Rainfall remains low. Looks like the high is going to be in and so drier weather now being baked in, but temperatures looking on the cool side as northeasterly sets

Confused signals for May (and the summer)

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

There are some confusing signals for the end of the month of April and the start of May. Below are the 500mb anomaly forecast from the CFS for the final week of April and the first week of May. Notice the orange colours over the UK and Ireland? They both indicate higher

5 things for the weekend

by Filotas Paschos -

🌦️ A rather unsettled weekend with spells of rain at times, especially early on Saturday. 🌧️ Rain gradually clears eastwards through Saturday, leaving a mix of sunshine and showers. 🌤️ Brighter intervals developing later Saturday as conditions become more showery. 🌦️ Sunday starts largely dry and bright for many

Rainfall levels for next 2 weeks

by Filotas Paschos -

Good day all, Looking ahead to the next couple of weeks, the overall weather pattern appears fairly settled. High pressure is expected to remain dominant across the European continent, occasionally extending into the eastern parts of the British Isles. At the same time, the Atlantic does not look vert active, with

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