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A wet end to the month

by Alexi Venerus -

A mixed week of weather and a rather unsettled end to the month as an active front moves from west to east across the country on Friday 30th September. Below is what the current GFS predicts the rainfall timings and amounts are to be through the morning, then afternoon and

NAO suggesting drier, frostier November?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The NAO is a useful too to be looking at at thistle of year. If you're new to Weatherweb Premium then the NAO is the North Atlantic Oscillation, when it's in positive territory it suggests that the flow across the Atlantic is more westerly and hence usually unsettled over the British

5 Weather Week Things To Know

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

It's autumn and the weather machine sure will be letting us know that this week. From today the weather turns cooler and more breezy, and there is the risk of some more widespread and severe gales affecting many areas by the end of the week. Here are your 5 Weather Week Things

ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to early November

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Wow, we are already looking at the forecasts into early November; feels rather strange as I'm still in shorts and t-shirts! The 6-week guidance from the ECMWF has been updated and here's the latest from that model ... 26th September to 2nd October Northwesterly flow over the British Isles. Cool for all, windy at

5 Weather Weekend things to know

by Alexi Venerus -

With ridging high pressure it is a largely settled weekend. Here are the five things you need to know; 1- Largely dry: With high pressure most will stay dry, though some showery rain will affect places on Saturday. Rain moving into the north on Sunday. 2- Cool temperatures: It will feel cool

The Autumn Equinox

by Alexi Venerus -

The autumn equinox has arrived as of today. Many of us define this change in period as leaves begin to fall, the temperatures drop and days become shorter with the daytime light becoming more and more limited in the evenings. The equinox marks an equilibrium point; when we more or less

October 2022 – Preliminary Guidance

by Alexi Venerus -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ OCTOBER 2022 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ==================================== Issued: Friday 16th September 2022 Contact: alexi@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A more or less average weather pattern for the month, nothing overly extreme. + Chilly nights and cool starts, but

A cold stint early next week

by Alexi Venerus -

A cooler stint is expected next week before we perhaps see a recovery in temperatures as we head into the start of October. Below is the latest GFS on the maximum and minimum temperatures for the Birmingham region for the next two weeks. You can clearly see a decline in

Winter analogue update – cold?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Peitao Peng has released the latest series of analogue forecasts for the coming season. Below is the guidance from December through February showing the 200mb height anomaly. Notice the blue colours over Iberia and southwest of the UK, with the orange colours over Scandinavia. This relates to lower than average pressure and

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