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An Uncertainty Regarding Chance of Settled Weather

by Daniel Graves -

In yesterday's Look Ahead, I spoke about the chances of upcoming windows of settled weather. One key detail I forgot to address is the effect that Atlantic hurricanes can have on UK weather. The image below, from the National Hurricane Center in the USA, shows clearly why I forgot to

North-South Humidity Contrast

by Daniel Graves -

Little introduction needed, the dew point chart speaks for itself. See below, for the GFS forecast dew point for 3am today. The higher the number, the more humid the air. Southwest parts of England and Wales, as well as much of the Midlands, will feel quite muggy this morning, particularly as

Early Autumn current thoughts

by Alexi Venerus -

The autumn equinox will occur on the 23rd September this year, so this is right around the corner. For us meteorologists we saw the beginning of autumn on 1st September, but in Britain it certainly does not feel as though summer has completely packed its bags. Lately the weather has

5 Week Ahead Weather Thing To Know

by Daniel Graves -

The weather stays varied in the near term; here's 5 details to help you plan your week. 1 - Settled start: On Monday, high pressure builds to the southwest of England. Most will have a dry day with sun increasingly breaking out. However, Scotland will see some patchy rain in the morning

Strong negative NAO mid-October

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

  All the talk has been of El Niño in recent weeks and our attention has been drawn away from other indices. One of these is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). How is the forecast in NAO (the grey shaded and bold black line area) from the excellent Kyle McRitchie site. Just look how

Rainfall for the next 2 weeks

by Filotas Paschos -

Hello all, The latest ECMWF rainfall outlook brings some encouraging news for those hoping for a little more settled weather as we head towards the end of September. Both weeks show a clear tendency towards below-average rainfall across much of the British Isles, although there are some differences worth highlighting. During the

5 things for weekend weather

by Filotas Paschos -

🌧️ Saturday will be rather cloudy and damp across Wales and southern England, with periods of rain or drizzle. 🌦️ Ireland, Scotland and northern England should become brighter, although passing showers will remain possible. 💨 Saturday will feel fresh and breezy, with the strongest winds around western and northern coasts. 🌤️ Sunday promises

An autumnal bout of weather over the coming days

by Alexi Venerus -

Over the coming days, the weather is set to turn increasingly blustery for many parts of the country, as the Jet Stream really begins to get into gear. Expect a spell of strong and gusty winds from today through to Saturday. There will also be periods of rain moving through, although

October 2026 Initial Weather Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ OCTOBER 2026 - INITIAL GUIDANCE =============================== Issued: Wednesday 16th September 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Dry start overall + Unsettled mid-month + Mixed, cooler end FACTORS AFFECTING OCTOBER 2026 INITIAL GUIDANCE ================================================= + A mixed pressure pattern as early

How and when high pressure might influence

by Alexi Venerus -

A spell of windy, wet and generally cool weather is expected to dominate over the next few days, with low pressure and Atlantic weather systems continuing to influence conditions across the UK. Rain and showers will be accompanied by brisk winds at times, with temperatures cooler than we have seen

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