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ECMWF 6-Week to early December

And so here it is, the first ECMWF forecast looking into the early stages of December. It makes for unsettled reading at first, but there are indications of the weather becoming chillier and drier through the month. 23rd October to 29th October Jet stream overhead the UK and Ireland (see chart below) Unsettled conditions,

Thoughts on winter from Japan

In yesterdays Look Ahead I mentioned the winter forecast from the JMA. Below is the forecast 50mb anomalies through December to February 2022. Notice the yellow colours over the UK which indicate higher than average pressure. The centre of the higher pressures appear to be in the Atlantic and so we'd expect