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October 2026 Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ OCTOBER 2026 - INITIAL GUIDANCE ============================== Issued: Tuesday 29th September 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Dry blocks + Mixed spells, mainly northwest + Overall average FACTORS AFFECTING OCTOBER 2026 INITIAL GUIDANCE ================================================ + A mixed pressure pattern as early

El Niño doom stories? Be wary of Greeks bearing gifts!

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

I have been quite alarmed at light about the stories, emerging regarding El Niño. This natural phenomena seems to have taken on the fear descriptives given to a horror movie; terms such as 'Godzilla El Niño' and 'Extreme El Nino' and regularly appearing in newspapers and online, giving the impression that

Strong negative NAO mid-October

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

  All the talk has been of El Niño in recent weeks and our attention has been drawn away from other indices. One of these is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). How is the forecast in NAO (the grey shaded and bold black line area) from the excellent Kyle McRitchie site. Just look how

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