Below, I've screenshotted the tops 5 precipitation amounts for weather stations across the UK for the 24 hours ending at 6pm, Wednesday, November 5. How did the GFS model do at predicting these precipitation totals? As a reminder, here's the map I posted yesterday, which predicted the 36 hour rainfall totals

Several fronts have passed over the British Isles over the past 24 hours, and a few more will pass through today as well. The chart below shows the GFS forecast rainfall totals for the 36 hours following a base time of 6am on Tuesday (the model run available at the

I said I wouldn't do it, but I just couldn't help myself. After a summer of talking about soil moisture and so much of the data showing dry soils, I've been delighted to see these wetter soils as rains return, temperatures cool, and sunshine weakens. See below for a screenshot