The latest ECMWF 46-day run shows signs of a slight improvement in conditions during the final quarter of April, although this is rather a weak signal. We can't show the charts here (due to licensing) but here's what the model indicates. 6th to 13th April Agrees with other models keeping a trough to

After the weather-shock of Wednesday and Thursday with colder temperatures for all, including a bitter wind-chill, there are signs of things picking up once again. The 10-day forecast temperature graph nicely shows the dip this week and into there weekend, before we start to see milder air returning early in the

Plenty of cloud Tuesday morning ... But this will be breaking by 10am ... So that by the afternoon here will be some sunshine for most of us ... Perhaps leading to a fine end to the afternoon and evening for many ...

Classic skew-t forecast for this afternoon for Birmingham showing the threat of some very large cumulonimbus clouds with the potential for some very heavy rain. Notice the red temperature line and blue dewpoint line coming together indications lots of moisture available in the atmosphere. Look at the grey forecast parcel line

As you plan your week ahead, tomorrow (Tuesday) still looks to be the driest day for most. There will be some morning rain in Scotland, but this slowly clearing north. Damp too in the cloud across much of northern England and the Midlands with some drizzle over high ground. Elsewhere mostly dry with