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ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to late June

The forecast for summer are stating to appear now and there is some agreement between to 6-week models. This is how the ECMWF 6-Week sees things (see today's Look Ahead for more)... 18th May to 24th May Ridge of high pressure builds south and east. Lower pressure west of Ireland. Rain Ireland and western Scotland

Summer drought from ECMWF?

The latest seasonal forecast for the ECMWF are hot off the press. I've not had time to view them in detail yet, but here's a summary. Below is forecast precipitation which shows a large area of drier than average conditions extends through the southern UK, Ireland and into northern Spain, France,

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