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CFS screams ‘ Take a Look At June!’

The CFS has come in with a bit of a shocker for June. As we await the output from the JMA so that we can complete our summer guidance, June is at the front of my mind. I'd got it nicely worked out for the issuance of our preliminary June forecast this

Still calling a Tuesday breakdown

The message from the 7am Saturday models runs is 'make the most of the dry weather in the next three days, because a breakdown looks likely Tuesday'. We accept that the weather is likely to break mid next week, but I still think there is much uncertainty in the timing of

ECMWF 46-day update to mid-June

The ECMWF has released its latest on thoughts on where we head towards the end of this month. You'll already know the trouble we've been having pinning things down for next week, and how the models have been changing from run to run. I talked more about this in Fridays Look

5 Weekend Weather Things to Know

It's been a strange week - rain in southern England and Wales as well as Ireland, but dry in Scotland. So what of the weekend? Here are the 5 Weekend Weather Things You Need to Know ... 1. Temperatures falling by Saturday so feeling cooler for all. 2. Frosts in more sheltered western

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