Okay, this mornings conundrums.... 1. How much rain Saturday? As a cold front moves south overnight into Saturday, bringing outbreaks of rain to Scotland, Ireland and northern England ... (chart below shows 1am to 7am, totals) ... how active is that front by the time it reaches Wales, central and southern England? Here's the

Several options available on Saturday rain potential as cold front drifts south. GFS keeps rain mostly northern half of UK ...   Canadian has it further south ...   Still all to play for, but predominately drier story holds.

Okay folks, it's not quite 'as you were', but it's close! Latest thoughts from this morning are for little rain in the southern half of the UK during the coming week, most to the north. Basically back to our longer range. However, take real care with this forecast. Other models are uncertain

12Z GFS run just coming in. Here's Friday mornings rain; drizzle west Wales, western England with more persistent sometimes heavy rain west Scotland and Ireland. Drier central and eastern areas, suspect the rain shown here doesn't actually reach the ground....   Here's Friday afternoon, notice mostly dry England and most of Wales, but