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ECMWF 46-day outlook to late October

The latest ECMWF 6-week forecast has been updated and makes for interesting viewing. Here's what it says ... 15th September to 21st September Trough stays west of the UK, former hurricanes here? Ridge to the east and south. Tending to be warmer and drier east of the UK, perhaps some very warm days. Wetter to the

QBO update and colder early winter?

The latest quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) chart shows and easterly anomaly again (that's the blue colour next to the red arrow below). Brown colours show where there is a westerly wind bias, whilst the blue shows easterly winds in the high stratosphere above the Equator. That blue may indicate a tendency towards colder

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