Seasonal forecasts covering the rest of summer and autumn are coming thick and fast now. The latest from the International Research Institute (IRI) has just been released. The precipitation anomaly charts for the months of June, July and August (below)  highlight an equal probability of near average rainfall across the UK and

The ECMWF forecast for June from the ECMWF 46-day model is certainly pulling together our ideas of a mixed month. Below is the latest from that model (remember this isn't our official forecast for June, but it is certainly similar to it) and it shows a fluctuation between lower and higher

There are increasing signs of the flow turning more northerly again into next week. The chart below is the forecast from the GFS Ensemble model for Monday 27th May (Spring Bank Holiday). This would be putting a downward pressure on temperatures, especially in places exposed to the wind. Overnight temperatures could be