The MJO is showing a strong tendency towards phases 2, 3, 4 and then weakening into phase 5. Phases 2 and 3 tends towards more mixed conditions, although phase 4 which is predicted to occur around 15th June does lean into more settled weather. This is backed up by other forecasts which

Forecasting the weather of the coming days is proving a difficult task, but let's hope we have more success with the coming weeks! Treat the forecast below carefully. Remember it is just from one model and we are seeing some dynamical events in the atmosphere which the models may not be

This is going to be a frustrating week for weather forecasting, just as it was back in 1944. We know that low pressure will be in control with a trough showing clearly at upper levels (see the chart below) However, the problem we have is where will the low pressure be and