The ENSO forecasts from various models have been published by the IRI and their graph is shown below. Notice the bold red line, blue line and green line, which are average of the various model types. They all run along similar lines, with the suggestion that a weak El Nino index of

After the hot weather of last week, and the mainly dry conditions in the days ahead, attention is now turning to the rest of July and August. You will know I am not particularly hopeful of a repeat of last years heat and dry weather; in fact things look more unsettled. Here's