The UK Met Office seasonal guidance forecast have been updated going through to January 2020. They make for interested viewing, especially the pressure anomaly chart. This is the precentage probability of pressure falling into one of three categories; above nromal, near normal and below normal in the three months of Novemver, December

After such unsettled weather to close out July and start August the focus has been on spotting improvements ahead. The signs are that we should begin to see pressure rise next week, after we have got rid of a deep area of low pressure this weekend. But how long will the improvement

It's interesting to see how remarkably neutral the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is forecast to be as we enter the time of year when the index becomes useful again. That would indicate that the westerly flow across the Atlantic, and the current westerliness in the weather pattern is forecast to continue