As we enter meteorological autumn the ECMWF 46-day outlook is already focussed on what may happen as we enter the halfway point on the season i the middle of October. Here's the latest from that model... 7th September to 13th September A ridge of higher pressure building to the south (see chart below). A

All longer range forecasts right now comes with a huge 'hurricane' caveat! That's because as the Atlantic comes alive with hurricanes models are struggling day to day, let alone with what might happen in the coming weeks. So, bear that in mind when reading below. I'm still of the opinion that drier,