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Month: April 2020

ECMWF 6-Week to early June

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ MAY 2020 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Wednesday 22nd April 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Plenty of dry weather + Showery in the east + Fair to the west FACTORS AFFECTING MAY 2020 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ========================================= + High pressure

ENSO forecast to early 2021, will it go low?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

We've just received the latest collection of ENSO forecast from the IRI, shown below. Remember this graph shows the forecast from various climate models as well as he mean of the forecasts comparing dynamical and statistical models. The numbers along the left-hand axis represented La Nina (negative numbers) and El Nino (positive

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