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Analogues anticyclone end of the month?

  Here's an interesting one. Taking the analogues for seven-days time, 14th January from the GFS ensemble, I've then projected forwards 10-days to see how these years fared by 24th January. That projection is below. Notice the large anticyclone to the east and the trough to the west.   Now this is the 500mb forecast

January Guidance Update

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JANUARY 2021 - GUIDANCE UPDATE ============================== Issued: Tuesday 5th January 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Cold start + Unsettled mid-month + Milder from mid-month FACTORS AFFECTING JANUARY 2021 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================================== + Early high pressure + More mixed from mid-month +

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