Remember that 1970's/80's children's TV programme 'Run Around'? Come on, of course you do. Kids had to run onto various colours after having been asked a question. Well the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a bit like that at the moment. It's running around everywhere; one day positive, the next negative. Below

I explained last week that I'd been doing some work on the longer range forecast taking us into next year. Now that we have the analogues from Peitao Peng at the NWS in the USA we can see some startling predictions. Let's start with winter 2021/2022 (December, January & February) ... The orange