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ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to mid-late August

A prolonged spell of dry weather is ahead, perhaps for 10-days or more for many parts of the British Isles. But how long will this last and what's next? August has consistently shown signs of being more unsettled; here's what the latest output from the ECMWF 6-week model suggests ... 9th July to

NAO hints at weaker westerly’s and higher pressure

Something we haven't talked about recently is the North Atlantic Oscillation, or the NAO. When in it's positive phase the NAO predicts stronger westerly winds across the Atlantic, and usually more unsettled conditions. A negative phase means a weaker westerly and a tendency towards higher pressure over the UK and Ireland. Here's the

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