Hi all, One of our most powerful tools in weather prognosis is the so called "Ensemble Forecasting". Weather has a chaotic nature. Not even the most complex numerical equations can predict exactly the weather for 10 days from today. Once scientists realised that, the that was the turning to move from a

Hi all, Last week we were discussing about our confidence on the weather forecast, regarding the cold plunge that we are expecting. Back then (last Thursday) it was around 60%, a quite significant number, but still with a lot of uncertainties. The last few days prognostic models have been proved right on