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Rainfall on Friday

Several days of rain are ahead, but I'd like to show some forecasts for Friday. See below for three charts from the GFS ensemble showing three successive 6 hour rainfall totals from 6am until midnight on Saturday. Southeast Ireland, Wales, and the Midlands may see rainfall totals reaching into the 30s

Getting ready for winter forecasting

  One of the charts we will be looking at closely in the coming months is the 10hPa Zonal Wind forecast from ECMWF. This is a measure of the strength of the west-east flow at 60N at the highest levels of the atmosphere. A strong flow tends to keep cold air closer to

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