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5 things for the weekend

• ☁️ Mostly cloudy overall — limited sunshine but some brighter spells, especially Saturday.• 🌧️ Showers around — Ireland and western areas more prone to heavier bursts.• 💨 Breezy conditions — winds picking up at times, especially near coasts.• 🌡️ Mild for November — highs typically 12–15°C, cooler in the

How Did The GFS Model Do With Rainfall?

Below, I've screenshotted the tops 5 precipitation amounts for weather stations across the UK for the 24 hours ending at 6pm, Wednesday, November 5. How did the GFS model do at predicting these precipitation totals? As a reminder, here's the map I posted yesterday, which predicted the 36 hour rainfall totals

Short-Term Rainfall Totals

Several fronts have passed over the British Isles over the past 24 hours, and a few more will pass through today as well. The chart below shows the GFS forecast rainfall totals for the 36 hours following a base time of 6am on Tuesday (the model run available at the

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