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Rainfall Outlook Update

Hello all,

According to the latest runs of the ECMWF weather model, the ongoing drier-than-normal pattern is expected to persist through the remainder of May, with signals also suggesting that these conditions may continue into the first part of June. The clearest indication comes from the latest precipitation anomaly charts, which consistently show around or below-average rainfall totals across many areas during the coming weeks.

Of course, this does not mean that completely dry weather is expected throughout the period. There will still be occasions with showers and spells of rain, especially across the western parts. However, the overall rainfall totals are forecast to remain lower than the climatological average, meaning that wetter periods are likely to be shorter-lived and less widespread than what would normally be expected for the time of year.

As can be seen in the ECMWF charts below, the broader atmospheric pattern continues to favor more settled conditions overall, with prolonged wet spells currently appearing less likely during the outlook period.

 

Thank you

Filotas

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