Hello all,

According to the latest runs of the ECMWF weather model, the current drier-than-normal pattern is expected to continue through the remainder of May, with signals also suggesting that these conditions may extend into the first part of June. The latest precipitation anomaly charts indicate that, overall, rainfall totals are likely to remain around or below average across many areas during the coming weeks.

The main exception appears to be during the first week of the outlook period, when parts of the southwest are expected to experience above-normal rainfall at times. Apart from this, however, the broader signal through the rest of the period points towards generally drier-than-normal conditions dominating across much of the region.

As can be seen in the ECMWF charts below, the larger-scale atmospheric pattern continues to favour more settled conditions overall, reducing the likelihood of prolonged wet spells during the outlook period.

Thank you

Fil