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That final cut for the season

Getting that perhaps final cut in over the coming weeks could prove crucial, if the current modelling is anything to go by. Over the next ten days to perhaps two weeks, both the ECMWF and CFS are suggesting that higher pressure will have more of an influence, bringing generally drier conditions.

Rain totals today

England will see relatively a lot of rainfall with the passing of this low pressure system today eventually clearing East Anglia later on this evening. Below shows what the current GFS model predicts for the total rain from this morning through to midnight tonight.

Blocking building in the next few weeks?

The latest ECMWF 6-week weather regime forecast is showing a tendency towards a blocking pattern as we get past mid-month. We can't read too much into this but the red colours certainly do tend to be the main pattern type mid to late October. This would interrupt the westerly Atlantic winds and

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