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El Nino – Super?

The latest forecast for this years El Niño event (remember, El Niño is a naturally occurring event) from several models, compiled by the TIR. Dynamic models (bold purple line) go for around +1.7 whilst Dynamic are +1.3. There's a few outliers putting it into a Super El Niño category, but most go

Signs of a Pattern Change

Hello all! Through the remainder of April, the overall pattern looks relatively stable, with pressure holding fairly steady and suggesting largely settled conditions. However, as we move into the first week of May, the ensemble guidance begins to show a gradual downward trend in pressure, pointing toward a potential change in

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