Spring is but a few days away, so what's the 6-week model form the ECMWF looking like? Is spring sprung? Well, it certainly looks better. Remember this is only one model, but it is good to see high pressure in the forecast. Here we go ... Monday 2nd to Sunday 8th March Low pressure

Now, I mentioned the CFS and how it is the stand-out model at the moment for not seeing a high pressure building...at least not strongly. Its interesting to look at more CFS data, notably the NAO below. See how the NAO is slipping negative from 6th March to early April which is

Well, there are signs of the weather changing. The winds have already shifted to more of a southwesterly, and this process continues during the week ahead with the potential for some very warm weather mid-week. But what about the week after? Well, look at the top of the graphs below. This is surface