Author: Dr. Simon Keeling
ECMWF 6-Week Outlook into the second half of May
By the end of this forecast we are into the latest stages of spring. Temperatures should be rising as we head into northern hemispheric summer months and growth accelerates. Below is what the ECMWF 6-week model expects to happen ... 13th April to 19th April High pressure close to northern Sweden. An east to southeast
Video: Tuesday’s Look Ahead – Into mid-May
Video: Tuesday’s Rapid Update (7/4/26)
Video: Fast Forecast – Tuesday to Saturday
Video: Monday’s Look Ahead – Soil temperatures and April updates
Video: 2 Week Planner (5/4/26)
Evidence builds for summer from weak NAO
Here's an interesting one. The NAO form the CFS through to nearly July shows a trend towards the neutral/weakly negative. This indicates weaker westerly winds across the Atlantic Ocean. Now, given that the analogues hint at higher pressure north of the British isles in May, June and early July, this would be