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Spring and summer early analogue updated thoughts

I mentioned in the Look Ahead video that I'd be doing some work on the analogues to see what they can tell us about the coming spring and summer. A few early results for you. Below is the March through May rainfall anomalies taking into account the ten most similar years

ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to late March

As forecast models continue to struggle with how the weather develops in the next few days, here are some thoughts from the ECMWF 6-Week for what might happen into March. Treat this one cautiously again. However, it is interesting to note a change in pattern and so this may well signal

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