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NAO review and that cold is close

An interesting NAO, showing negative through much of the forecast period. Yes it is strongest negative to late February, but even after that it stays slightly negative. What does this mean? Well, a strong indication. that the usual Atlantic westerly winds are going to be weakened, possibly easterly. It again supports the

Oh why can’t forecasting be easier …

... because if it was, us meteorologists would quickly get bored! Yes, we are entering another period of uncertainty as models do the back and forth dance around the possibility of cooler weather next week. Models can't decide on how far west the cool air gets, it certainly looks like it builds

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