There will be lots of talk in the news media today of Storm Bram. The jet stream is doing its bit across the North Atlantic, strengthening to over 170mph over the British Isles today, creating the dynamic conditions for the low pressure area to bring severe gales and heavy rain. The

Interesting to see the MJO tracking through Phases 8, then 1 and 2 before becoming weaker into 3 around Christmas Day. That Phase 8 pattern usually shows higher pressure west as a split feature north and south in the Atlantic, lower pressure close by Ireland. It's close to now but not