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Author: Dr. Simon Keeling

More on Heatwaves

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

After my piece on heatwave hysteria, John Kings contributes the following ... Heatwaves in Birmingham A quick analysis of all days equalling or exceeding the official definition of heatwave for the region, that is maximum temperature greater than or equal to 28C for 3 consecutive days shows there have been a total of 63

Heat in June now 2500x more likely? I despair at the destruction of my science!

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Sorry, this is a soapbox moment. I became suspicious when reading this https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jun/21/heatwave-expected-deaths-england-and-wales-analysis Something didn't quite feel right about the claims being made. Notice there's not official attribution to any peer reviewed paper, just a load of scientists being quoted and giving their opinions. It was easy to find the source of the story,

July 2025 – Preliminary Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JULY 2025 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =============================== Issued: Friday 20th June 2025 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Mixed start + Pressure building and drier + Some thunderstorms in south FACTORS AFFECTING JULY 2025 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ================================================ + High pressure building, intially

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