It's amazing to think that we have only a few days left of summer; 1st September marks the start of meteorological autumn. And that's why the ECMWF now extends to early October, with the details below ... 1st September to 7th September Low pressure northwest of Scotland, affecting the whole British Isles. Conditions remain

I'll look more at the analogues for autumn and winter (which make VERY interesting viewing) in the coming week or so. For now, here's the pressure analogue for September using the ten most recent similar years back to 1848. See how the low pressure is shown to be south of the UK