You will have seen in the Look Ahead that the ECMWF is strongly in favour of a drier, warmer second-half of June. However, first glance at the GFS EBS 35-day suggests that a trough remains over the British Isles, having briefly collapsed, giving more mixed conditions throughout the month. The meteogram below

The latest 6-week forecast from the ECMWF takes us into the middle of July, which will be, at least meteorologically speaking, mid-summer. The current unsettled weather is probably not what will be the dominant feature of the month ahead. Here's the latest ... 8th June to 14th June High pressure builds into the south

Today the World Meteorological Agency publish a report which has highlighted that we are entering, what could be, a very strong E Nino event. El Nino is part of the natural upwelling of water in the eastern Pacific which cycles through periods of around two years. Some of these events are