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Updated winter thinking

I mentioned in a recent Look Ahead video the updated analogues for winter and so I thought I'd quickly put together some thoughts here ... January Low pressure has consistently been a feature of the analog guidance for January 2026. This one is no different with the lower than average pressure to the

High pressure on the way

Good day all, So the weather forecast for the week at least, is for high pressure to extend over the British Isles and stay for several days! This will accompanied with mostly dry and rather cold weather in places, but we are expecting very low temperatures. Below you can see the

5 things for the coming weekend

🌤️ Mix of cloud and brighter spells, with sunshine breaking through at times 🌦️ Showers mainly in western areas, some lingering and locally heavier 💨 Breezy conditions, especially near coasts and higher ground ☁️ Cloud increasing later, turning rather dull in places ❄️ Chillier feel overall, particularly in the

A Swathe Of Rain In England Today

Several frontal boundaries will be crossing the British Isles today with one notable broad frontal structure brining persistent rain, often heavy, into England much of the day. I've clipped the 6-hour rainfall totals for 6pm today from the ECMWF model, shown below: Totals reaching the middle teens of  millimeters across much

January 2026 Preliminary Weather Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JANUARY 2026 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Tuesday 16th December 2025 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Cool + Early frost and fog + Colder later FACTORS AFFECTING JANUARY 2026 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ===================================================== + High pressure dominantes + After mid-month the high

5 Weather Things to Know For The Week Ahead

We're still in an unsettled regime for the week ahead, but a few details will help you stay dry and comfortable: 1 - Most settled north early: Ireland and Scotland will have a window of calmer weather Monday and Tuesday. Lighter winds and sunny spells, though west coasts remain vulnerable to cloud

A wet week to come, a drier to follow..

Hello everyone A quick look at the two precipitation-anomaly maps (source: https://charts.ecmwf.int) tells a pretty clear story. For next week, the Atlantic is very much “open for business,” continuously feeding moisture into the region. That means fairly wet conditions for many areas, with frequent bouts of rain rather than long dry

5 Weekend Weather Things To Know

The weekend is upon is and here are the 5 things you need to know... 1. A damp start in central and eastern areas today (Friday), but turning brighter and drier from the north and west. 2. Severe gales in Scotland and Ireland on Saturday, heavy rain in western Scotland and parts

Signs of chillier weather as we get to Christmas?

This one is really tricky. After a spell of unsettled weather with a strong jet stream across the Atlantic and a positive NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), one would expected to see a change in pattern at some time. Using purely anecdotal evident this is likely to be after about 4 to 6

Windy Winners

Yesterday, the story was about rain. One note that I forgot to mention about the values I presented - these are the values publicly available from a specific data collection source I use, which are the Met Office observation sites. There are plenty of other observation sites and I saw

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