With the issuing of our Winter 2016/17 Preliminary Guidance on Tuesday, I thought it might be a good idea to just give a few tips on how to get the most from our longer range forecasts. Winter is the season which always attracts the most attention in the media. People get

Talk of torrential downpours in Wales and the southwest of England Saturday afternoon, and here's why... Forecast skew-t diagram for Bristol for 4pm Saturday afternoon shows a a classically unstable skew-t. Notice the grey line to the right of the red temperature line? The grey line is the predicted path an air parcel