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Month: July 2016

Already thinking of Spring & Summer 2017

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

I know, we haven't even got this summer underway yet, but we are already exploring the options for the spring and summer of 2017. The Canadian CANSIPS model is churning out forecast 12-months in advance and here's what it's thinking ... April 2017 (500mb chart below) showing as rather unsettled, a trough

Thursday night rain?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The weather stays very messy through tonight. A fronts brings rain through northern parts of the UK, but there is much uncertainty over the area of showers forming to the south. Here's the GFS rainfall total forecast for tonight, between 1am and 7am...   Now here's the UK Met Office take on things...   And the

200mph winds as Super Typhoon Nepartak heads to Taiwan

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Now there are winds, and there are winds! Super Typhoon Nepartak, currently heading to Taiwan falls into the later category. The satellite image graphically shows how large this storm is. Notice the sharp eye.   Latest predictions from the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JWTC) shown below highlight the storm weakening as it heads

Will It, Won’t It? Playing the La Nina game

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The latest ENSO region 3.4 index is showing a flattening in the last couple of weeks at -0.4 This puts it into the neutral to weak La Nina category. The slow down of the onset on La Nina certainly wasn't highlighted by the climate models, although some have been trying to catch

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