Tropical Storm Ian is out in the central Atlantic, east of Bermuda and west of the Azores. The forecast graph below shows the forecast path until the end of tomorrow.   But that's not the end of 'his' story. 3am Friday he's on the extreme west of this chart ...   Then by midday

The ECMWF 46 has a knack of being rather accurate recently and so it's a model that we probably need to take notice of. There seems to be growing consensus that the end of September will be characterised by unsettled weather, but beyond that things tended to improve mid October before

I'm confused! Easily done, I know (thought I'd say that before anyone else). But look at this graph. It's a graph of the last 5 years of the Quasi-biennial Oscillation (the QBO). Basically that's a measure of the westerliness or easterliness of the winds high in the stratosphere. The Times 'Weather Eye'