latest modelling brings Hurricane Matthew up the eastern coasts of the USA, but the majority are keeping the storm offshore. However, this may not be enough to protect coastal communities from storm surges associated with Matthew and no doubt the USA authorities are preparing plans to get residents away from the

The latest output from the ECMWF 46-day model has become available, and makes for interesting reading. As you know I can't show the charts here due to licensing, but this is what the output is suggesting... 7th October to 14th October Keeps higher heights to the north with high pressure continuing to affect

There really is a high level of consistency in the forecasts of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation for late autumn and early winter. Every day I look at this CFS forecast and am amazed at how it's the same day in, day out. Now, you'll hear loads of chatter

Here's the latest satellite animation of Hurricane Matthew updating every 30 minutes...   And the latest image, again updating every 30-minutes ...