I've been working on creating sets of teleconnection charts for Premium members. These will enable you to see at a glance how typical weather patterns are associated with temperatures and rainfall in the coming months. The NAO has continued in it's negative phase for much of November. The latest forecast from the CFS

A quickie from this mornings GFS Ensemble which highlights the 'back to the cold' message we've been punting out over the last week or so. Here's the 15-day temperature graph for Manchester. It neatly shows the rise in temperatures taking place this weekend and early next week, but then look at