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Spring 2017 – Preliminary Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ PRELIMINARY FORECAST GUIDANCE FOR SPRING (MARCH, APRIL & MAY) 2017 ================================================================== Issued: Thursday 26th January 2017 FORECAST DISCUSSION =================== There is strong guidance from models suggesting that the prevailing westerly winds across the UK

ECMWF 46-day latest into early-mid March

As promised in yesterdays Look Ahead, here's the latest from the ECMWF 46-day output. It's a similar story until the end of February which is hinted at being more unsettled than previous runs and potential less cold (although still chilly). Other models are in agreement and that tends to build confidence. So

Critical to watch the NAO in next few weeks

I've mentioned the NAO in the Look Aheads in the last couple of days and it's something we really need to watch carefully in the weeks ahead. The latest NAO from the CFS shows it slipping into a positive phase for a time. This implies the westerly winds get going once

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