The latest forecast for the NAO from the CFS model really does give away the idea of a weather pattern in transition. Notice how it bounces around neutral levels not only through the coming days, but beyond into the early part of June too. This isn't going to make for pleasant forecasting

The MJO forecast for the next month from the CFS continues to show a sharp transition through phases 4, 5 and 6. Whilst Phase 4 takes us through 18th march in an unsettled theme Phases 5 and 6 lend themselves towards improving conditions. This is typically a build of pressure to