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Month: July 2017

Latest ENSO forecast stays weak

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The International Research Institute (IRI) have just released the round-up of ENSO model forecasts issued in July. You can see from the chart below how the majority of models are sticking with the very weakly positive ENSO, but only just. They come in around the +0.3 mark, essentially giving a neutral

August 2017 – Preliminary Forecast

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++   PRELIMINARY FORECAST FOR AUGUST 2017 ==================================== Issued: Tuesday 18th July 2017 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net   HEADLINES ========= + Predominantly westerly flow + Pressure higher than average + Rain on some days, mostly north & west + Drier east and south +

More on that autumn rain

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

In Monday's Look Ahead video I take about the potential for a wet autumn and early winter. This is something the analogue charts are starting to pick up on, and its the first sign of a change in weather pattern away from the blocked scenario we have seen lately. Or is

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