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Arguing with the analogues

The last analogues forecast from Huug Van Dan Dools methods have been released. Here's the ideas using data through to the end of October. Notice the high west of Ireland with lower than average heights northeast of Scotland. This results in a mostly W-NW flow and would hint that there would

NAO & AO continue to point to chill

So, the media are starting to pump out stories of freezing weather ahead. Well, as always, these stories are way over the top, and the models really are struggling to decide what might happen. There's been a definite slip away from the cold ideas in the past 24-hours, but things may get

A cold view from JMA winter forecast update

There are some very nervous forecasters here at Weatherweb Premium. The winter forecast from the Japanese Meteorological Agency has just become available and it is matching up very nicely with ideas for winter. I don't know why, but that makes me panic a little. I quite like being in conflict with the

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